| 区域物流规模的改进灰色马尔可夫预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 闫莉,陈青.区域物流规模的改进灰色马尔可夫预测[J].包装工程,2009,30(7). |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 闫莉 陈青 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 闫莉,YAN Li(西安工业大学,西安,710032);陈青,CHEN Qing(西北工业大学,西安,710072) |
| |
| 基金项目： | 陕西省教育厅科研专项基金 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 在分析灰色GM(1,1)方法、灰色马尔可夫方法的基础上,建立区域物流规模预测的改进灰色马尔可夫模型,以国家统计局公布的陕西省1997-2006年货物周转量的统计数据为依据,对其2007-2008年的物流规模进行预测.与灰色GM(1,1)方法、灰色马尔可夫方法的预测结果相比,改进灰色马尔可夫链模型对区域物流规模的预测更加有效.
|
| 关 键 词： | 灰色马尔可夫模型 物流规模 预测 |
Improved Grey Markov Prediction Model for Regional Logistics Scale |
| |
| YAN Li,CHEN Qing.Improved Grey Markov Prediction Model for Regional Logistics Scale[J].Packaging Engineering,2009,30(7). |
| |
| Authors: | YAN Li CHEN Qing |
| |
| Affiliation: | YAN Li1,CHEN Qing2(1 Xi'an Technological University,Xi'an 710032,China,2 Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi'an 710072,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | An improved grey Markov prediction model for regional logistics scale was proposed based on analysis of the GM(1,1) method and the grey Markov method.The logistics scale data from 1997-2006 of shaanxi province was used for predict the logistics scale in 2007-2010.The result showed that the improved grey Markov model is more effective than the GM(1,1) and the grey Markov method on the regional logistics scale. |
| |
| Keywords: | grey Markov model logistics scale prediction |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
