服装流行色的色彩意向灰色预测

流行色作为引导时尚的代名词，其消费性和商业指导性变得愈加突出，对其进行准确预测显得尤为重要。研究运用颜色科学的理论知识、日本色研所的NCD色彩意象理论以及两者之间的紧密关系，从抽象和意象思维2方面对历年服装流行色资料微观化、细致化。通过建立2000—2006年春夏女装小样本统计的蓝色流行程度评价值、明度、纯度、色彩意象群区分布百分比和色相倾向分布百分比的灰色GM（1,1）全数据和部分数据信息预测模型，来预测未来蓝色流行程度及色调倾向性。

Clothing fashion color image scale grey forecast

In nowadays, when people mention fashion color, it is as good as mentioning fashion trends. It get more and more important in the eyes of comsumers and garment makers and distributors. Therefore, it is very important to conduct exact forecast of “fashion color”. Having studied the theory of color science and NCD color image scale as well as the close relationship between them, we try to give a fashion color forecast based on the analysis of the fashion color data aveilable from aspects of abstract and imaginary thinking. We have collected the statistic data on the fashion color “blue” of 2000-2007 spring and summer women’s wear and the appraise value of its fashable extent, the color brightness, purity etc. and built a GM (1,1) model to predict the fashionable extent and shade tendency of blue color in the future.