文山州水资源承载能力综合评价分析

运用SPSS统计软件和主成分分析方法,构建区域水资源承载能力综合评价指标体系、评价标准和评价模型,并对各评价区域水资源承载能力进行计算分析。结果表明:①富宁县、马关县和麻栗坡县水资源承载能力相对较大,文山县、砚山县和西畴县较小;②各评价区域在不同水平年不同保证率情景下水资源承载能力均未达到Ⅰ级标准,各评价区域水资源承载能力整体上呈Ⅱ级标准,表明区域水资源开发利用已具有相当规模,但仍有一定的开发利用潜力,水资源的供给需求在一定程度上能满足区域的经济社会发展。

Comprehensive assessment of water resources carrying capacity in Wenshan

The paper established the comprehensive evaluation index system,evaluation criteria and evaluation models of a regional water resources carrying capacity by making the use of SPSS statistical software and principal component analysis,and calculated water resources carrying capacity of each evaluation region.The results show that:①The carrying capacity of water resources in Funing,maguan and Malipo counties is relative large,and that of Wenshan,Yanshan and Xichou is relative small;②The carrying capacity of water resources total in each evaluate area under different guaranty rate and level year doesn’t reach Ⅰdegree standard but reach Ⅱdegree.This showes that water resources development has reached relative scale but still present some potential for development and utilization.The supply and demand for water resources can meet the regional economic society development in certain degree.