A CHANCE-CONSTRAINED MODEL FOR THE OPERATION OF THE ASWAN HIGH DAM

This paper analyzes the problem of the operation of Aswan High Dam. A chance-Constrained Model (CCM) is developed for the operation of the Dam. The model optimizes total benefits from the discharged water while incorporating all physical and operational constraints. Zero-order decision rules are used to obtain the model deterministic equivalent. The model operating policy is compared with the current operation policy derived from a heuristic rule and an alternative policy derived from a dynamic programming model developed earlier for the operation of the Aswan High Dam. The chance-constrained approach provides a natural and more flexible model for the operation of the Dam.