北京工业终端能源消费变化的分解研究

工业部门终端能源消费占北京市终端能源消费的50%左右。本文基于2001～2005年的经济与能源统计数据,利用LMDII方法定量地分析了影响工业终端能源消费变化的原因,研究发现,工业部门快速的经济增长是能源消费增长的决定性因素。为了减缓能源消费增长速度,需要降低能源密集型部门的能源强度以及降低能源密集型部门产出在工业产出中的比例。

Study on the Change of Industrial Final Energy Consumption in Beijing

Industrial consumption accounts for about 50 % of total final energy consumption in Beijing. We decompose the factors of the changes in energy consumption of 2001 - 2005 with the help of LMDII. It is found that the rapid growth of economy is the decisive factor for industrial final energy consumption. In order to slower the industrial final energy consumption, it is suggested to reduce the intensity of energy-intensive sectors and decrease the share of output of energy intensive sectors taken in industry.