基于分形理论的旅游流体系结构演化研究

旅游流体系结构演化的研究在很大程度上影响到区域旅游的发展定位和组织方式,对制定旅游发展目标,促进区域旅游协调发展具有指导意义。通过对帕雷托方程的分形演绎,构造出反映旅游流体系规模分布和等级结构变化的结构演化矩阵,并以1990-2007年中国入境旅游统计数据为样本做实证研究,发现我国入境旅游流体系规模分布具有分形特征;旅游流等级差异缩小,规模分布更加均衡;其结构发育与规模分布具有高度同步的特征。旅游流体系结构演化矩阵能够清晰反映旅游流体系的演化状态,揭示旅游流规模分布和等级差异的变化情况,为旅游流研究提供了新的思路和方法。

Research on tourism flow system structure evolution based on fractal theory

It is a fundamental job to study the tourism flow system structure evolution,which not only affects the regional tourism development orientation and organization,but also helps to formulate the tourism development objectives and promote the coordinated development of regional tourism.Based on fractal theory and Pareto equation,this paper constructs the structure evolution matrix of tourism flow system.In addition,sample inspection has been done according to the relevant statistics of the inbound tourism flow during the period between 1990 and 2007,which indicated that the distribution of Into-China tourism flow system is fractal.Its level difference is narrowed and the size distribution is more balanced.It′s a highly synchronization feature between the structure development and size distribution.The structure evolution matrix of tourism flow system can clearly reflect the evolution of the tourism flow system state,and the findings can provide new ideas and methods for tourism flow research.