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黄河流域水-能源-粮食安全系统的耦合协调发展研究
引用本文:赵良仕,刘思佳,孙才志. 黄河流域水-能源-粮食安全系统的耦合协调发展研究[J]. 水资源保护, 2021, 37(1): 69-78
作者姓名:赵良仕  刘思佳  孙才志
作者单位:辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心, 辽宁 大连 116029
基金项目:国家自然科学基金青年科学基金(41701616);辽宁省社会科学规划基金(L17CJY004)
摘    要:为探究黄河流域水-能源-粮食安全系统协调发展对推动流域人地关系协调、高质量发展的意义,以黄河流域水-能源-粮食安全系统为核心,构建流域水-能源-粮食安全系统综合指数,采用主成分分析法计算各指标权重,利用耦合协调度模型对2007-2017年黄河流域水-能源-粮食安全系统耦合协调度进行测算,并对2018-2027年流域耦合...

关 键 词:水-能源-粮食安全系统  耦合协调度  主成分分析  黄河流域
收稿时间:2020-07-14

Study on coupling and coordinated development of water-energy-food security system in the Yellow River Basin
ZHAO Liangshi,LIU Siji,SUN Caizhi. Study on coupling and coordinated development of water-energy-food security system in the Yellow River Basin[J]. Water Resources Protection, 2021, 37(1): 69-78
Authors:ZHAO Liangshi  LIU Siji  SUN Caizhi
Affiliation:Center for Studies of Marine Economy and Sustainable Development, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China
Abstract:In order to explore the significance of the coordinated development of water-energy-food security system in the Yellow River Basin to promote the coordination of human-land relationship and high-quality development, a comprehensive index of water-energy-food security system in the Yellow River Basin was constructed with the water-energy-food security system as the core. The weight of each index was calculated by principal component analysis. The coupling coordination degree model was used to measure the coupling coordination degree of water-energy-food security system in the Yellow River Basin from 2007 to 2017, and to predict the coupling coordination degree of the Yellow River Basin from 2018 to 2027. The results show that the comprehensive evaluation index of water-energy-food security system in the Yellow River Basin is in the middle level. From 2007 to 2017, the coupling coordination degree of water-energy-food security system in the basin experienced the primary and intermediate coupling and coordinated development level, showing an overall upward trend, with great development potential. The comprehensive index of water and energy security subsystem in the Yellow River Basin shows a slight negative growth trend, which has a certain negative pressure on the overall development of the system. The prediction results show that the coupling coordination degree of the basin will remain at the intermediate level of coordination during the prediction period. To improve the coordination of water-energy-food security system in the Yellow River Basin and promote the high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin, it is necessary to consider the coordination among water, energy and food, and fundamentally strengthen the comprehensive and efficient management of resources and ecology in the basin.
Keywords:water-energy-food security system   coupling coordination degree   principal component analysis   Yellow River Basin
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