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南京电网负荷与气温敏感性分析
引用本文:许琦,曾凌.南京电网负荷与气温敏感性分析[J].江苏电机工程,2012,31(5):55-57,61.
作者姓名:许琦  曾凌
作者单位:南京供电公司,江苏南京,210000
摘    要:气候变化对负荷的影响在逐年增大,同时也影响着电力系统负荷预测的精度.对南京电网2011年全年的负荷水平进行了详细分析,根据日最高负荷和气温的相互关系,计算出南京夏季、冬季的空调负荷水平,得出了最高负荷与气温的敏感性系数,为提高南京电网负荷预测准确率提供了有效参考.

关 键 词:负荷预测  电网负荷  空调负荷  气温  敏感度

Analysis on Load and Temperature Sensitivity of Nanjing Grid
XU Qi , ZENG Ling.Analysis on Load and Temperature Sensitivity of Nanjing Grid[J].Jiangsu Electrical Engineering,2012,31(5):55-57,61.
Authors:XU Qi  ZENG Ling
Affiliation:(Nanjing Power Supply Company,Nanjing 210000,China)
Abstract:The climate change has more impacts on load year by year,as well as on accuracy of power system load forecasting.2011 full-year load level of Nanjing grid is analyzed in detail.The air conditioning load of Nanjing in summer and winter is calculated based on relationship between daily maximum load and temperature.The sensitivity coefficient of highest load and temperature is obtained which provides an effective reference to improve Nanjing load forecasting accuracy.
Keywords:load forecasting  grid load  air conditioning load  temperature  sensitivity
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