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基于元胞自动机模型的长沙市城市增长模拟研究
引用本文:尹长林,;张鸿辉,;游胜景,;陈光辉. 基于元胞自动机模型的长沙市城市增长模拟研究[J]. 工程勘察, 2009, 0(4): 57-62
作者姓名:尹长林,  张鸿辉,  游胜景,  陈光辉
作者单位:[1]中南大学信息物理工程学院,长沙410083; [2]长沙市规划信息服务中心,长沙410013
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(40771198).
摘    要:元胞自动机具有模拟二维空间演化过程的能力,并且在时间上也是离散的,因此具有很强的时空动态性,它的这种特性使其模拟城市增长具有明显的优势。SLEUTH模型是元胞自动机模型的一种具体实现形式,本文介绍了该模型的具体参数、转换规则以及校正过程,基于GIS方法和遥感数据源,利用该模型重建了长沙市1996~2005年城市增长过程,并结合情景模拟方法预测了2010年长沙市城市空间形态。结果表明,运用SLEUTH模型模拟城市增长是可行的,并且其模拟精度是可以接受的。

关 键 词:元胞自动机  GIS  城市增长模拟  SLEUTH模型  长沙

Study on urban growth simulation based on cellular automaton model--changsha city as an example
Affiliation:Yin Changlin, Zhang Honghui, You Shengjing, Chen Guanghui ( 1. College of Information and Physics Engineering, Center South University, Changsha 410083, China ; 2. Changsha Urban Planning Information Service Center, Changsha 410003, China)
Abstract:The cellular automata model has the ability to simulate the process of 2 dimensional space evolutions in discrete time. Therefore, it is dynamic in time and space. This characteristic makes it very powerful in simulation of urban growth. This paper explains the parameters, transformation and rectification of SLEUTH model-one specific realized format of the cellular automata model, on which, the process of urban growth of Changsha city during 1996 - 2005 has been established. Moreover, the spatial morphology of Changsha in 2010 is separately predicted by the method of scenario simulation. The results show that it should be achievable when SLEUTH model is applied to simulate urban growth, and the accuracy of simulation results is acceptable.
Keywords:cellular automata  GIS  urban growth  SLEUTH model  Changsha city
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