基于 EKC 理论与 LMDI 因素分解的经济增长与碳排放关系研究

本文基于EKC理论对云南省经济增长与碳排放之间的关系进行验证，结果表明二者之间不存在倒U型曲线，而是呈线性关系，并且存在长期的协整关系。采用LMDI分解方法对云南省人均碳排放进行因素分解，结果表明经济发展是拉动人均碳排放增长的主要因素，能源效率和能源结构是抑制碳排放增长的因素。最后，在上述分析的基础上，提出了几点建议。

Analysis of the Relationship between Economic Growth and Carbon Emissions

This paper, based on the EKC theory, analysis the relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions of Yunnan province. the results indicate that there was a linear relationship between them rather than the＂inverted U＂;the economic growth of Yunnan province would promote the increase of carbon emissions. LMDI model shows that：the economic development was the fundamental reason for carbon emissions in Yunnan province and it was the main driving factors of carbon emissions per capita growth; energy structure was not obvious to reduce the carbon emissions;energy efficiency was the main inhibitory factor of Yunnan per capita carbon emission.