| 蒙特卡洛法在吉祥屯气藏储量计算中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 施尚明,李照永. 蒙特卡洛法在吉祥屯气藏储量计算中的应用[J]. 特种油气藏, 2005, 12(2): 32-34 |
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| 作者姓名： | 施尚明 李照永 |
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| 作者单位： | 大庆石油学院地球科学学院,黑龙江 大庆 163318 |
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| 摘 要： | 论述了蒙特卡洛方法的数学原理,并结合实例阐述了在天然气储量计算过程中各计算参数实际分布产生随机变量抽样方法.该方法的计算结果提供了一定可信度下的天然气储量期望值,特别是在勘探开发初期,可最大限度减少主观因素的影响,为勘探开发提供客观、可靠、合理的储量值.
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| 关 键 词： | 蒙特卡洛法 储量计算 概率统计 储量期望 应用 吉祥屯气藏 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-6535(2005)02-0032-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-01-05 |
Application of Monte Carlo method in Jixiangtun gas reservoir reserve calculation |
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| SHI Shang-ming,LI Zhao-yong. Application of Monte Carlo method in Jixiangtun gas reservoir reserve calculation[J]. Special Oil & Gas Reservoirs, 2005, 12(2): 32-34 |
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| Authors: | SHI Shang-ming LI Zhao-yong |
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| Abstract: | This paper expounds the mathematical theory of Monte Carlo method, and the random variable sample method of parameters in the calculation process of gas reserves in conjunction with examples. The calculation method provides a desired value of gas reserve with certain degree of credibility. Especially in the early stage of exploration and development, it can reduces the impact of subjective factors to the maximum extent, and provide objective, reliable and reasonable reserve values. |
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| Keywords: | Monte Carlo method reserve calculation probabilistic statistics reserve expectation application Jixiangtun gas reservoir |
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