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A Comparative Study of Artificial Intelligence Models and A Statistical Method for Groundwater Level Prediction
Authors:Poursaeid  Mojtaba  Poursaeid  Amir Houssain  Shabanlou  Saeid
Affiliation:1.MPO-Plan and Budget Organization, Khorramabad, Iran
;2.Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Technical and Engineering, Payam Noor University, Khorramabad, Iran
;3.Department of Electrical Engineering, Lorestan University, Khorramabad, Iran
;4.Department of Water Engineering, Islamic Azad University, Kermanshah Branch, Kermanshah, Iran
;
Abstract:

Today, various methods have been developed to extract drinking water resources, which scientists use to simulate the quantitative and qualitative water resources parameters. Due to Iran's geographical and climatic characteristics, this region is located on the drought belt in Asia. In this research, some Artificial Intelligence (AI) and mathematical models have been used for groundwater level prediction. The AI models used for this research are Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model. In this study, simultaneously, these models were used to simulate and estimate groundwater level (GWL). The database used in the simulation is the data related to the Total Dissolved Solids (TDS), Electrical Conductivity (EC), Salinity (S), and Time (t) parameters. The results showed that ELM was more accurate than other methods. In Uncertainty Wilson Score Method (UWSM) analysis, ELM had an Underestimation performance and was determined as the more precise model.

Keywords:
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