| 就汶川地震失报探讨地震预报的科学思路——再论李四光地震预报思想 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵文津.就汶川地震失报探讨地震预报的科学思路——再论李四光地震预报思想[J].中国工程科学,2009,11(6):4-15. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵文津 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国地质科学院,北京,100037 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据我国多年地震监测预报工作的经验和问题,就地震发生的机理、预报研究的基本途径以及汶川地震发生机理和失报问题做了探讨;分析了地震短临预报前兆、测震学应用的局限性及地应力转移和追踪;提出了今后地震预报工作的9点建议.
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| 关 键 词： | 汶川地震 地震预报 地应力 李四光 |
| 收稿时间： | 2009/3/13 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2009/4/21 0:00:00 |
Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake-re-discussing Li Siguang' s earthquake prediction thought |
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| Zhao Wenjin.Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake-re-discussing Li Siguang' s earthquake prediction thought[J].Engineering Science,2009,11(6):4-15. |
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| Authors: | Zhao Wenjin |
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| Affiliation: | Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing 100037, China |
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| Abstract: | According to the experience and problems of seismic monitoring and earthquake prediction for many years in China, it was discussed the earthquake mechanism, preliminary methods for prediction research and the mechanism and miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake, analyzed prediction precursor of short term and impending earthquake, seismometry application limitation and ground stress transfer and track, and put forward 9 suggestions for future earthquake prediction. |
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| Keywords: | Wenchuan Earthquake earthquake prediction ground stress Li Siguang |
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