| 灰色预测在控制证券投资风险中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 张培炼 陈义万. 灰色预测在控制证券投资风险中的应用[J]. 湖北工业大学学报, 1995, 10(4): 93-96 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张培炼 陈义万 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖北工学院学报编辑部 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用灰色系统中的ＧＭ（１，１）模型和灾变预测方法，以深圳股市股指极小值的日期作为灾变集，进行了短期和中长期模拟预测，其误差均小于５％，作长期预测时，灾变集元素之间具等间距性，作等间距预测，其效果更佳，该法同样适用于证券投资分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统 灾变预测 灾变集 等间距 证券投资 |
The Application of Grey Forecasting in Controlling Stock investment Risk |
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| Zhang Peilian, Chen Yiwan,Lin Jingrong,Wang Xuewen. The Application of Grey Forecasting in Controlling Stock investment Risk[J]. Journal of Hubei University of Technology, 1995, 10(4): 93-96 |
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| Authors: | Zhang Peilian Chen Yiwan Lin Jingrong Wang Xuewen |
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| Affiliation: | Zhang Peilian; Chen Yiwan;Lin Jingrong;Wang Xuewen |
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| Abstract: | Using the model GM (1,1) in grey system and the method of catastrophe forecasting,taking the date of stock index minimum in Shen Zhen stock market as catastrophe set,short-term and mid-long-term analoh forecasts are done. Itserror is less than 5%.When being forecasted in long-term, there is the property of iso-spacing between catastrophe elements. Deing iso-space forecasting, its effects are better, this method is suitable for the analysis of stock investment. |
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| Keywords: | Grey system GM(1 1)model Catastrophe forecasting Catastrophe set Iso-spacing Stock investment |
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