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用电负荷预测技术及其应用
引用本文:马玉.用电负荷预测技术及其应用[J].安徽电气工程职业技术学院学报,2007,12(1):37-40.
作者姓名:马玉
作者单位:安徽宣城供电公司,安徽,宣城,242000
摘    要:用电负荷预测要根据电网的用电负荷特性,充分考虑各种因素;用电负荷预测结果应达到一定精度;用电负荷预测的对象很多,应根据实际需求,对不同的对象有重点的进行预测;用电负荷预测要用科学的方法,根据不同的预测对象,建立一定的数学模型;用电负荷预测是电力系统安全经济运行和电网规划不可缺少的组成部分;用电负荷预测应深入分析研究用电负荷特性和变化规律,努力提高用电负荷预测准确率.

关 键 词:用电负荷  用电负荷预测  预测技术  影响因素
文章编号:24244877
修稿时间:10 16 2006 12:00AM

Electro-Load Forecast Technology and Application
MA Yu.Electro-Load Forecast Technology and Application[J].Journal of Anhui Electrical Engineering Professional Technique College,2007,12(1):37-40.
Authors:MA Yu
Affiliation:Anhui Xuancheng Power Supply Company,Xuancheng 242000, China
Abstract:Taking various elements of the electro-load features into consideration,the result of the electro-load forecast should has a certain degree of accuracy.According to the actual requirements,for different forecast objects,the forecast importance is different.Scientific methods are needed to establish mathematical model according to different forecast objects.Electro-load forecast is an indispensable component in safety and economic operation of electric-power system and the electricity grid plans.For improving the accuracy of the electro-load forecast,the electro-load features and the changing trend need to be profoundly analyzed in detail.
Keywords:electro-load  electro-load forecast  forecast technology  affection element
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