中国聚乙烯市场发展前景分析

分析了2015—2019年我国聚乙烯的市场供需情况。2019年,聚乙烯产能为19.27 Mt,产量为15.76 Mt,进口量为16.67 Mt,消费量为32.14 Mt。总结了2020—2024年我国聚乙烯新增产能情况,并对消费量进行了预测。受2020年年初新冠肺炎疫情的影响,预计2020年聚乙烯消费量约为32.39 Mt,伴随我国经济生活的有序恢复以及国家产业扶持力度的加大,未来聚乙烯消费量仍将保持较快增长,预计2024年将达到37.90 Mt。尽管我国聚乙烯市场空间大,但面对产品同质化、低价进口产品、环保监管趋严、禁塑令等挑战,在竞争激烈的市场中,企业必须降低产品成本,以用户需求为导向开展定制化服务,加大科技研发力度,强化自主创新。

Development prospect of polyethylene market in China

This paper analyzes the market supply and demand of polyethylene from 2015 to 2019 in China.In 2019,the production capacity of polyethylene reached 19.27 Mt,the output was 15.76 Mt,the import volume was 16.67 Mt,and the consumption volume reached 32.14 Mt.China′s new polyethylene production capacity is summarized and consumption is predicted from 2020 to 2024.The forecast results show that affected by COVID-19 at the beginning of 2020,China′s polyethylene consumption will be about 32.39 Mt.However,with the orderly recovery of China′s economy and the growth of national industrial support,polyethylene consumption will continue to grow rapidly in the future,and it is expected to reach 37.90 Mt by 2024.Although polyethylene market is large,local enterprises in China still face severe challenges such as product homogeneity,low-priced imported products,stricter environmental protection supervision,and plastic bans.In order to survive in the fiercely competitive market,Chinese enterprises must reduce product costs,develop customized services based on user needs,carry out more scientific research and development,and strengthen independent innovation.