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房地产投机度诊断指标及诊断标准研究
引用本文:周咏馨,杜长兰. 房地产投机度诊断指标及诊断标准研究[J]. 建筑经济, 2008, 0(1)
作者姓名:周咏馨  杜长兰
作者单位:1. 东南大学土木工程学院,江苏,南京,210096
2. 盐城市房产交易登记中心,江苏,盐城,224003
摘    要:目前尚未有一种能够有效判定房地产市场价格走势合理性的指标体系,也没有判定房地产投机度大小的标准.为科学地度量各地房地产市场行情,从投机动力角度出发,研究了房地产买卖收益率高低对市场行情的影响,从评价市场支撑能力角度出发,研究了居民住房支付能力问题.利用房地产买卖收益率和城市居民住房平均支付能力指标建立了房地产投机度诊断标准,并对该诊断标准进行了实证检验.

关 键 词:房地产买卖收益率  居民住房平均支付能力  诊断标准  房地产买卖  投机度  诊断指标  标准研究  Degree  Real Estate  Standard  Indicator  Diagnostic  实证检验  诊断标准  指标建立  城市  利用  问题  支付能力  住房  居民  支撑能力  市场行情

Research on Diagnostic Indicator and Standard of Real Estate Speculative Degree
ZHOU Yongxin,DU Changlan. Research on Diagnostic Indicator and Standard of Real Estate Speculative Degree[J]. Construction Economy, 2008, 0(1)
Authors:ZHOU Yongxin  DU Changlan
Abstract:Nowadays, there is not an indicator system that can determine the rationality of the price trend of real estate market effectively. Also, there is no standard to determine the speculative degree of real estate. In order to measure the real estate market around the country scientifically, the paper studies the impact of real estate price-earnings ratio on the market from the perspective of speculative motivity and analyses the issues of resident's payable power from the perspective of estimating market support capacity. Moreover, this paper establishes a diagnostic standard of the speculation degree of real estate and takes empirical test of the standard.
Keywords:real estate price-earnings ratio  resident's average payable power  diagnostic standard
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