一个基于离散事件仿真的Multi-Agent经济仿真模型

本文根据复杂系统及Multi-Agent仿真原理构建了一个简单的三部门经济仿真模型． 在模型中采用了学习算法模拟了经济个体的智能行为，并应用离散事件仿真技术实现了代理 人之间的交互与通信问题及系统的动态模拟，系统模拟了企业在亏损时退出与不退出市场这 两种策略下的经济运作状况，说明了亏损企业不退出市场不仅将引起更多企业的亏损，而且 会使宏观经济指标下降．

A MULTI-AGENT ECONOMY SIMULATION MODEL BASED ON DISCRETE EVENTS SIMULATION

The paper build a model for a simple three sector economy, to which the complex system idea and the multi agent modeling method are applied. The economic individuals' intelligent behavior and the relations between them are simulated. Also the market response is simulated, respectively to the quitting the market and staying on of bad performance companies. The result analysis shows that the staying on behavior will cause more other companies to fail and the macroeconomic index to decrease.