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Scoring procedures for multiple criteria decision aiding with robust and stochastic ordinal regression
Affiliation:1. Telfer Management School, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada;2. Post Graduate Program of Industrial Engineering, Methodist University of Piracicaba, Santa Bárbara d’Oeste, SP, Brazil;3. Shool of Applied Sciences, University of Campinas, Limeira, Brazil;4. Embrapii-Brazilian Association for Industrial Research and Innovation, Brasília, DF, Brazil;5. Engineering School, Mackenzie Presbyterian University, São Paulo, Brazil;6. KMI Software Consulting, Jundiaí, Brazil;1. School of Management, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi 710049, PR China;2. Institute of Computing Science, Poznań University of Technology, Piotrowo 2, Poznań 60-965, Poland;3. Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences, Newelska, 6, Warsaw 01-447, Poland;1. Warwick Business School, The University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom;2. Dept. of Economics and Business, University of Catania, Corso Italia, 55, Catania 95129, Italy;3. Portsmouth Business School, Centre of Operations Research and Logistics (CORL), University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth PO1 3DE, United Kingdom;4. Systems Research Institute, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw 01-447, Poland;5. Institute of Computing Science, Poznań University of Technology, Poznań 60-965, Poland;1. Department of Economics and Business, University of Catania, Corso Italia, 55, 95129, Catania, Italy;2. Portsmouth Business School, Centre for Operational Research and Logistics (CORL), University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth, United Kingdom
Abstract:We propose several scoring procedures for transforming the results of robustness analysis to a univocal recommendation. We use a preference model in form of an additive value function, and assume the Decision Maker (DM) to provide pairwise comparisons of reference alternatives. We adapt single- and multi-stage ranking methods to select the best alternative or construct a complete ranking by exploiting four types of outcomes: (1) necessary preference relation, (2) pairwise outranking indices, (3) extreme ranks, and (4) rank acceptability indices. In each case, a choice or ranking recommendation is obtained without singling out a specific value function. We compare the proposed scoring procedures in terms of their ability to suggest the same recommendation as the one obtained with the Decision Maker׳s assumed “true” value function. To quantify the results of an extensive simulation study, we use the following comparative measures (including some newly proposed ones): (i) hit ratio, (ii) normalized hit ratio, (iii) Kendall׳s τ, (iv) rank difference measure, and (v) rank agreement measure. Their analysis indicates that to identify the best “true” alternative, we should refer to the acceptability indices for the top rank(s), whereas to reproduce the complete “true” ranking it is most beneficial to focus on the expected ranks that alternatives may attain or on the balance between how much each alternative outranks and is outranked by all other alternatives.
Keywords:Multiple criteria  Scoring procedures  Efficacy measures  Ranking methods  Ordinal regression  Additive value function
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