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概率统计方法在水库面板堆石坝沉降监测中的应用
引用本文:张鹏举,赵国荣. 概率统计方法在水库面板堆石坝沉降监测中的应用[J]. 中国农村水电及电气化, 2013, 0(7): 51-55
作者姓名:张鹏举  赵国荣
作者单位:甘肃省疏勒河流域水资源管理局,甘肃玉门735211
摘    要:玉门市白杨河水库面板堆石坝高66.8m,为目前酒泉地区同类坝型最高的。大坝经过近十年的运行,积累了丰富的监测资料。但无法从监测数据分析出大坝变形是否已经完成。文章通过对监测数据运用数学方法,对坝体数据进行分析,并比对实际数据,得出预测数据在实际监测数据范围内的结论,说明概率统计数学方法可应用于水库面板堆石坝沉降监测中。

关 键 词:面板堆石坝  混凝土面板  概率统计  坝体沉降

Application of Probability Statistics Method in Reservoir Panel Rockfill Dam Subsidence Monitoring
ZHANG Peng-ju,ZHAO Guo-rong. Application of Probability Statistics Method in Reservoir Panel Rockfill Dam Subsidence Monitoring[J]. Rural Hydropower & Electrification in China, 2013, 0(7): 51-55
Authors:ZHANG Peng-ju  ZHAO Guo-rong
Affiliation:(Gansu Shule River Basin Water Resources Administration,Yumen 735211,China)
Abstract:Yumen Baiyanghe Reservoir panel rockfill dam is 66. 8m in height,and it is the highest dam among similar dams in Jiuquan area currently. Dam has accumulated a wealth of monitoring data after operation for nearly a decade. However,it is impossible to analyze whether dam deformation has been finished or not from the monitoring data. The dam data is analyzed in the paper through utilizing mathematical method on the monitoring data. The actual data is compared to clraw the conclusion that the forecast data are within in the actual monitoring data scope. It shows that probability statistics mathematical method can be applied in the reservoir panel rockfill dam subsidence monitoring.
Keywords:rockfill dam  concrete panel  probability statistics  dam subsidence
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