博弈理论在中国获取海外石油策略中的运用

中国经济持续高速发展,作为中国“和平崛起”的重要内涵之一,已经并将继续对中国能源战略和国际能源市场产生深刻的影响。国际能源市场供求关系的重大变化,很大程度上左右着国际地缘政治、经济格局。石油资源已经成为当今中国社会关注的焦点和国民经济发展的瓶颈,石油安全事关中国经济乃至国家安全。为此, 本文根据博弈理论和运用层次分析法的有关原理及思考方法,在充分分析影响我国石油获取海外石油因素的基础上,构建中国获取海外石油的基本博弈模型,并进行相应的案例分析。

Application of game theory in strategy of China acquiring overseas petroleum.

Sustainable and high-speed economic development in China, as one of important contents of "peaceful abrupt-rise" of China, already produced and continuously produces a deep influence on energy strategy of China and international energy market. The important variation of relationship between supply and demand of international energy market controls international geopolitical and economic situation to a considerable degree. The petroleum resource has become current interested focus of our society and bottleneck of national economic development. The security of petroleum is relative to our economy and national security. For that reason, on the basis of game theory and using principles and thinking methods associated with clarification-analysis method, the paper constructs basic game model of China acquiring overseas petroleum on the basis of fully analyzing the factors that have influence on China acquiring overseas petroleum and analyzes the relevant cases.