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South Africa's greenhouse gas emissions under business-as-usual: The technical basis of ‘Growth without Constraints’ in the Long-Term Mitigation Scenarios
Authors:Harald Winkler  Alison Hughes  Andrew Marquard  Mary Haw  Bruno Merven
Affiliation:1. University of Cape Town, Energy Research Centre, Upper Campus, Rondebosch, W Cape 7701, South Africa;2. PJCarew Consulting, 103 Hout Street, Cape Town 8001, South Africa
Abstract:This article describes the methodology for projecting business-as-usual GHG trajectory developed in technical work for South Africa's Long-Term Mitigation Scenarios (LTMSs), in particular the ‘Growth without Constraints’ (GWCs) scenario. Technically rigorous projections are important as developing countries define their commitment to act on mitigation relative to business-as-usual (BAU).
Keywords:Greenhouse gas projections  South Africa  Long-Term Mitigation Scenarios
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