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湖漫水库PPCC检验法的坝前年最高水位统计特性分析
引用本文:何艳,步春俊,潘骁,杜红蕾. 湖漫水库PPCC检验法的坝前年最高水位统计特性分析[J]. 浙江水利水电专科学校学报, 2008, 20(3): 73-76
作者姓名:何艳  步春俊  潘骁  杜红蕾
作者单位:1. 温岭市温西水利管理站,浙江,温岭,317500
2. 温岭市水文信息中心,浙江,温岭,317500
3. 温岭市水利管理工程站,浙江,温岭,317500
4. 温岭市河道管理所,浙江,温岭,317500
摘    要:采用PPCC检验法对金清水系湖漫水库坝前年最高水位常用的几种分布线型进行对比分析。除了正态分布、二参数对数正态分布和耿贝尔分布的参数估计用矩法估计外,其他三种分布的参数估计统一用基于绝对值准则的适线法。分析结果表明实测值和理论值的拟合效果耿贝尔分布最差,P-Ⅲ型分布和LP-Ⅲ型分布较好,三参数对数正态分布最好,建议把三参数对数正态分布作为岳城水库坝前年最高水位的分布线型。

关 键 词:湖漫水库  PPCC检验法  坝前年最高水位  三参数对数正态分布

Statistics Analysis on Maximun Annual Water Level of Human Reservoir by PPCC Testing
HE Yan,BU Chun-jun,PAN Xiao,DU Hong-lei. Statistics Analysis on Maximun Annual Water Level of Human Reservoir by PPCC Testing[J]. Journal of Zhejiang Water Conservancy and Hydropower College, 2008, 20(3): 73-76
Authors:HE Yan  BU Chun-jun  PAN Xiao  DU Hong-lei
Affiliation:HE Yan, BU Chun-jun, PAN Xiao, DU Hong-lei(1. Wend Water Conservancy Administration Office, Wenling 317500, China;2. Wenling Hydrological Information Center, Wenling 317500, China; 3. Wenling Water Conservancy Engineering Station, Werding 317500, China;4. Wenling Rivereourse Administration Office, Wenling 317500, China)
Abstract:Taking Human Reservoir of Jinqing water system as an example, PPCC testing is applied to compare several common distributions of the maximum annual water level of the reservoir, including normal distribution, two parameter lognormal distribution, Pearson Type Ⅲ distribution (P-Ⅲ), lognormal Pearson Type Ⅲ distribution (LP-Ⅲ), three parameter lognormal distribution and Gumbel distribution. Moment method is used to estimate the parameters of the three former distributions and curve-fitting method is applied to the others. The results shows that three parameter lognormal distribution fits best and Gumbel distribution fits worst while P-Ⅲ and LP-Ⅲ are superior to the rest distributions. Therefore, three parameter lognormal distribution is proposed to describe the maximum annual water level of Human Reservoir.
Keywords:Human Reservoir  PPCC testing  maximum annual water level of the reservoir  three parameter lognormal distribution
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