水文地质评价中的灰色系统理论

本文重点阐述了灰色预测理论的基本内容、水文地质系统的灰色特性及其在水文地质评价中的可能应用。并运用灰色预测模型举例进行了计算与分析。

THE GRAY SYSTEM THEORY IN HYDROGEOLOGICAL EVALUATION

The gray system theory is a new system theory which was established and expressed in 1982 by Professor Deng Julong, Engineering College of Central China. The gray system means the system that partial information is given and the rest is ungiven. Since it's establishment, "gray prediction", which is the important constituent of gray system theory, has been widely utilized for studying in various subjects and fields and has got much joyful achievement. The theory and it's methods are assistant and utilizable for solving the problems of gray hydrogeology and the like. This paper briefs the basic contents of gray prediction theory, sets forth the gray features in hydrogeological system, and preliminarily discusses the utilization possibility of the gray prediction theory in hydrogeological evaluation. Finally, the paper makes use of the gray prediction model in calculating and analyzing a concrete example.