时间和损失不确定的军械紧急调运决策优化

由于自然环境、敌方打击破坏等因素的影响，战时军械紧急调运必然存在着一定的不确定性。为了使决策具有更大实用价值，在决策时必须考虑这种实际调运过程中存在的不确定性。然而，已有的军械调运模型均未考虑这种不确定性，无法适用于时间和损失不确定的调运决策优化。针对这一不足，在已有模型的基础上，建立了一种基于仿真的军械调运决策模型。模型中考虑了军械调运中存在的不确定性，能够适用于时间和损失不确定的调运决策优化。最后通过算例，说明了模型的有效性。

Decision-making Model of Urgency Ordnance Transportation Based on Simulation

Due to the factors of environment and enemy's attack,urgent transportation of ordnance in wartime is uncertain to some extent.To make the decision more practical,the uncertainty in actual ordnance transportation must be considered.While the existing ordnance transportation models haven't taken the uncertainty into account and can't be applied in uncertain process.So a decision-making model of urgency ordnance transportation based on simulation is established.This model takes the uncertainty into account and can be applied in uncertain process.Finally,the model is proved to be valid by an example.