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Impediments to accurate clinical judgment and possible ways to minimize their impact.
Authors:Arkes  Hal R
Abstract:Recent research in cognitive psychology has begun to uncover some of the factors that make clinical judgment a difficult task. Five impediments to accurate judgment are discussed: inability to assess covariation, influence of preconceived notions, lack of awareness of one's judgmental processes, overconfidence, and the hindsight bias. To minimize the impact of these impediments, 3 strategies are suggested: active consideration of alternative outcomes, increased attention to certain types of usually ignored data, and minimization of the role of memory. (43 ref) (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)
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