| 基于蒙特卡洛法的配电网供电可靠性算法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张慧,李俊华,董孝平. 基于蒙特卡洛法的配电网供电可靠性算法研究[J]. 电气技术, 2011, 0(12): 5-8,19 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张慧 李俊华 董孝平 |
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| 作者单位： | 郑州供电公司,郑州,450006 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文介绍了配电系统可靠性分析的基本方法,采用蒙特卡罗模拟法（MCS）分析简单的辐射型单端供电网络的可靠性及其相关指标,并与故障模拟后果分析法进行比较分析。并通过改变各元件参数、增加备用电源,分析影响负荷点指标和系统指标的因素,找出影响蒙特卡罗模拟法计算精度和可靠性的因素。
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| 关 键 词： | 配电网 蒙特卡罗模拟法 可靠性算法 指标分析 |
Arithmetic Analysis of Supply Reliability Based on Monte Carlo Simulation |
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| g Hui,i Junhua,ong Xiaoping. Arithmetic Analysis of Supply Reliability Based on Monte Carlo Simulation[J]. Electrical Engineering, 2011, 0(12): 5-8,19 |
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| Authors: | g Hui i Junhua ong Xiaoping |
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| Affiliation: | (Zhengzhou Power Supply Comapny,Zhengzhou 450006) |
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| Abstract: | The paper presents the basic analysis methods of the power distribution system reliability and analyzes the reliability and related indices with Monte Carlo Simulation（MCS） in a simple radiation distribution.The results are compared to the analysis of fault effect.The factors which can affect reliability are discussed by changing the parameters of components and increasing stand-by power supply and the key points to MCS methods calculation accuracy and reliability are identified. |
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| Keywords: | power distribution Monte Carlo Simulation reliability indices analysis |
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