世界能源消费和发展趋势分析预测

分析研究了发达国家经济社会发展与能源消费的历史特点,提出了发达国家能源消费演变的七个共同特点和三种发展模式,以期探寻经济社会发展和能源转型之间的关系。未来能源消费、供应、技术和政策都将发生巨大变化,能源消费将更加集约、清洁、高效,能源供应结构将不断优化。对未来20年全球一次能源消费总量和结构进行了预测。

Analysis and Prediction of Energy Consumption Trend in the World

Based on analyzing the economic and social development in developed countries and the history of the energy consumption characteristics, the article forecasts the total primary energy consumption and structure over the next 20 years in the world. In order to explore the relationship between the economic development and energy consumption transformation, it puts forward seven common characteristics in the evolution of the energy consumption within developed countries and three kinds of consumption pattern. In the future, consumption pattern, supply, technology and policy will play an important role. The great changes of energy consumption will be more intensive. Clean and efficient, energy supply structure will continue to optimize.