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Impact of cross-national diffusion process in telecommunications demand forecasting
Authors:Christos Michalakelis  Georgia Dede  Dimitris Varoutas  Thomas Sphicopoulos
Affiliation:1. Department of Informatics and Telecommunications, University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Ilisia, Athens, 157 84, Greece
Abstract:New product diffusion process studies focus mainly on estimating the adoption rate of the product, within the boundaries of the targeted market. However, and especially for high technology and telecommunications products, it is very likely the case that products or services are introduced simultaneously into a number of market segments, a fact that it is rarely taken into account. Thus, the effect of market and population interaction, and the consequent co-influence in the diffusion rates is not considered. This work focuses on developing and evaluating a pertinent methodology, so as to capture this cross-national interaction influence in the diffusion process.
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