| 滑坡预测预报非线性动力学方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘汉东,王思敬. 滑坡预测预报非线性动力学方法[J]. 华北水利水电学院学报, 2001, 22(3): 123-126 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘汉东 王思敬 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院地质研究所 |
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| 基金项目： | 河南省杰出青年科学基金 (0 0 19)，教育部高校骨干教师资助计划 |
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| 摘 要： | 对滑坡预测预报方法的进展进行了系统分析 ,特别是对非线性理论的特点及其在滑坡预测中的作用和意义进行了阐述 .并且 ,基于对地质体复杂性的认识 ,强调了人类专家经验知识的重要性 ,指出定性、定量综合集成的方法 ,如专家系统预测方法等是特别值得关注的 ,并提出了新的研究思路与发展方向
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| 关 键 词： | 滑坡 预测预报 非线性动力学 专家系统 |
| 文章编号： | 10025634(2001)03012304 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001-05-18 |
Study on nonlinear dynamics in landslide prediction |
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| LIU Han dong ,WANG Si jing. Study on nonlinear dynamics in landslide prediction[J]. Journal of North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power, 2001, 22(3): 123-126 |
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| Authors: | LIU Han dong WANG Si jing |
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| Affiliation: | LIU Han dong 1,WANG Si jing 2 |
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| Abstract: | The paper has systematically summarized the advance of scientific prognostic methods, especially the nonlinear dynamic methods such as chaotic dynamics, synergetics as well as fractal methods, and their application in landslide prediction. At the same time, it points out that more attention should be paid to the combined methods by quantitative methods and qualitative ones based on the complex features of geological body. At last, it prospects the key points of landslide prognosis and the development trend in the future. |
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| Keywords: | landslide prognosis and prediction nonlinear dynamics expert system |
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