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iMLP: Applying Multi-Layer Perceptrons to Interval-Valued Data
Authors:Antonio Muñoz San Roque  Carlos Maté  Javier Arroyo  Ángel Sarabia
Affiliation:(1) Instituto de Investigación Tecnológica (IIT), Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería (ICAI), Universidad Pontificia Comillas, Alberto Aguilera 25, 28015 Madrid, Spain;(2) Departamento de Ingenieńa del Software e Inteligencie Artificial, Universidad Complutense, Profesor García-Santesmases s/n, 28040 Madrid, Spain
Abstract:Interval-valued data offer a valuable way of representing the available information in complex problems where uncertainty, inaccuracy or variability must be taken into account. In addition, the combination of Interval Analysis with soft-computing methods, such as neural networks, have shown their potential to satisfy the requirements of the decision support systems when tackling complex situations. This paper proposes and analyzes a new model of Multilayer Perceptron based on interval arithmetic that facilitates handling input and output interval data, but where weights and biases are single-valued and not interval-valued. Two applications are considered. The first one shows an interval-valued function approximation model and the second one evaluates the prediction intervals of crisp models fed with interval-valued input data. The approximation capabilities of the proposed model are illustrated by means of its application to the forecasting of daily electricity price intervals. Finally, further research issues are discussed. Research funded by Universidad Pontificia Comillas.
Keywords:feed-forward neural network  function approximation  interval analysis  interval data  interval neural networks  symbolic data analysis  time series forecasting
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