High-level reasoning and base-rate use: Do we need cue-competition to explain the inverse base-rate effect? |
| |
Authors: | Juslin, Peter Wennerholm, Pia Winman, Anders |
| |
Abstract: | Previous accounts of the inverse base-rate effect (D. L. Medin & S. M. Edelson, see record 1988-31640-001) have revolved around the concept of cue-competition. In this article, the authors propose that high-level reasoning in the form of an eliminative inference mechanism may contribute to the effect. A quantitative implementation of this idea demonstrates that it has the power by itself to produce the pattern of base-rate effects in the Medin and Edelson (1988) design. Four predictions are derived that contradict the predictions by attention to distinctive input (ADIT; J. K. Kruschke, see record 1996-02680-001), up to date the most successful account of the inverse base-rate effect. Results from 3 experiments disconfirm the predictions by ADIT and demonstrate the importance of high-level reasoning in designs of the Medin and Edelson kind. Implications for the interpretation of the inverse base-rate effect and the attention-shifting mechanisms presumed by ADIT are discussed. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved) |
| |
Keywords: | high-level reasoning base-rate use cue-competition inverse base-rate effect |
|
|