基于计划识别的态势估计方法研究

针对Kautz（1987）计划识别方法在控制机制上的不足，讨论了基于规划知识图的计划识别方法：以一阶谓词逻辑为形式语言，研究了战术智能规划的一个实例，给出了一种集成了战术智能规划系统和战术计划识别系统的态势估计模型。该模型通过动态建立计划库突破了Kautz计划识别方法中封闭世界假设的限制，可以对敌军的行动目标和行动计划提出合理的假设，并在此基础上预测敌军的未来行为，为指挥决策提供依据。

Study of Situation Assessment Method Based on Plan Recognition Theory

For the shortage of plan recognition method presented by Kautz(1987) in controlling mechanism, a plan recognition method based on planning knowledge graph is discussed in detail. Using first-order predicate logic as formal language, an instance of tactical intelligent planning is analyzed and a situation assessment model combined tactical intelligent planning system and a tactical plan recognition system are proposed. The plan library, which is dynamic set up, could break through the limit of closed world hypothesis in Kautz's plan recognition method. The model is capable of supplying reasonable hypothesis for enemy's action goal and plan and projecting enemy's future action, which is helpful to command decision.