供应链视角下我国突发食品安全事件风险评价

目的:分析我国食品供应各环节食品安全风险的大小,为今后制定突发食品安全事件应急管理策略提供理论基础和技术支持。方法:基于突变理论模型,构建突发食品安全事件风险评价指标体系,对我国2005—2014年间的食品安全风险进行综合评价。结果:总体而言,近10年我国食品安全风险呈缓慢下降趋势,但是从食品供应的3个具体环节来看,风险一直呈现波动趋势,特别是农产品生产和食品生产消费这2个环节,近2年来食品安全风险呈现增长态势。结论:完善食品安全法律法规体系和食品安全监管体系,推动农业分散经营模式向规模化生产模式转变,建立食品安全强制责任保险制度。

Risk Evaluation of Food Safety Emergencies under the Perspective of Supply Chain

Objective: This study aimed to analyze food safety risks along the entire food supply chain for the purpose of providing a theoretical basis and technical support to formulate an emergency management strategy. Methods: Based on the data from 2005 through 2014 in China, a food safety risk assessment system is established according to the catastrophe theory in this article. Results: Overall, the past decade has saw a slow reduction in food safety risks; however, for three selected steps of the food supply chain, especially agricultural production and food production and consumption, food safety risks have continuously fluctuated during this decade and tended to rise over the last two years of this period. Conclusion: Improving the legal and regulatory system for food safety, promoting the transformation of decentralized agricultural business model to large-scale production mode, and establishing a compulsory liability insurance system for food safety are key factors to reduce food safety risks and emergencies.