基于多智能体的舰船装备健康状态仿真评估方法

考虑到海况对舰船安全航行和任务执行有着重大影响，提出了一种基于多智能体技术的装备健康状态仿真评估方法。在分析舰船装备航行任务的基础上，建立了“任务-装备-维保-环境”装备健康状态模型，针对海洋环境因素对装备性能、维保能力的影响，制定了环境智能体的内部规则和通信机制，可实现不同海况条件下舰船装备的健康状态评估。以某舰船动力系统为例，分别在0级、5级和7级海况下对其巡航任务下的健康状态进行分析与评估，仿真结果表明：相比0级海况，动力系统在5级和7级海况下健康度和任务成功率均有所降低，量化评估结果与专家定性评估结果趋势一致。

A Multi-agent-based Simulation Method for Health State Assessments of Naval Equipment

 Considering that the sea conditions had a significant impact on the safe navigation and mission execution of ships， a multi-agent technology-based equipment health state simulation assessment method was proposed herein. Based on the analysis of naval equipment navigation task， the “task-equipment-maintenance-environment” equipment health state model was established， and the internal rules and communication mechanism of the environmental agents were formulated to realize the health state assessment of naval equipment under different sea conditions， in view of the influences of sea condition factors on equipment performance and maintenance capability. Taking a ships power system as the object， the health states of the cruising mission was evaluated under sea state 0， 5 and 7 level， respectively， and the simulation analysis results show that compared with sea state 0， the health and mission success rate of the power system under sea state 5 and 7 are reduced， and the quantitative evaluation results are consistent with the trend of expert qualitative evaluation results.