| 水电站经济效益风险分析研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李继清,张玉山,王丽萍,纪昌明. 水电站经济效益风险分析研究[J]. 水电能源科学, 2002, 20(3): 72-74 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李继清 张玉山 王丽萍 纪昌明 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉大学,水利水电学院,湖北,武汉,430072 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金重大项目资助 ( 5 0 0 996 2 4 ) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对水电站经济效益风险,采用“分解”分析方法,辨识出影响水电站经济效益的风险因素,简要分析了各因素的作用机理,由此建立了基于最大熵原则的风险分析模型,给出了求解方法。并以此模型为基础进行实例研究,从而证实该模型的可行性和实用性,为进一步的风险分析与决策提供依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 水电站 经济效益 风险分析 最大熵模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-7709(2002)03-0072-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002-03-29 |
Study on Risk Analysis of Economic Benefits for Hydropower Station |
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| LI Ji-qing ZHANG Yu-shan WANG Li-ping JI Chang-ming. Study on Risk Analysis of Economic Benefits for Hydropower Station[J]. International Journal Hydroelectric Energy, 2002, 20(3): 72-74 |
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| Authors: | LI Ji-qing ZHANG Yu-shan WANG Li-ping JI Chang-ming |
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| Abstract: | Concerning with the risk of economic benefit of hydropower station, adopting "disassembling" analysis method, this paper identifies and briefly analyzes risk factors and their respective function mechanism of economic benefit for hydropower station. Therefore, the Risk Analysis Model basing on the Maximum Entropy Role is established and the solving method is presented. Finally, this model is applied in practical project research, and the feasibility and practicality of this model is proven. All the work can provide the basis for deeper risk analysis and decision-making. |
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| Keywords: | economic benefit for hydropower station risk factor risk analysis maximum entropy model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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