天基对地武器作战效能评估及其灵敏度分析

通过分析影响天基对地武器作战效能的主要因素,建立天基对地武器作战效能评估指标体系,对天基对地武器进行作战效能评估,从而为天基对地武器总体设计提供参考和建议。针对显著影响天基对地武器作战效能的因素,从参数灵敏度分析的角度进行研究。针对传统作战效能灵敏度分析方法存在的缺陷,提出了基于遗传算法优化的区间灵敏度分析方法,通过仿真计算获得各个参数对天基对地武器作战效能的灵敏度,并对仿真数据进行了统计学分析。结果表明:参数TNT当量和命中精度的灵敏度较大,基础隐蔽效能指数、体积和形状的灵敏度次之,而雷达反射截面积的灵敏度较小,基于遗传算法的区间灵敏度分析方法显著提高了灵敏度分析的精度。

Evaluation of Operational Effectiveness of Space-based Strike Weapon and Sensitivity Analysis

Abstar ct:The main factors affecting the operational effectiveness of space-based strike weapon were analyzed ,and the evaluation system of operational effectiveness was established , and the evaluation was carried out in order to offer reference for overall design of space-based strike weapon .The factors significantly affecting the operational effectiveness of space-based strike weapon was analyzed through sensitivity analysis .Aiming at the shortcomings of traditional sensitivity analysis methods , the interval mathematics sensitivity analysis method based on Genetic Algorithms was proposed .The sensitivity was obtained through simulation ,and the result was analyzed by statistical analysis .The result shows that the sensitivity of TNT equivalent and hit precision is greater .The sensitivity of hidden index and volume and shape is second ,and the sensitivity of radar cross section is small .The interval sensitivity analysis method based on genetic algorithm greatly improves the accuracy of sensitivity analysis .