基于物元模型的海外矿业投资金融风险评价研究

海外矿业投资需要面临许多风险,金融风险作为对矿业投资具有重大影响的一种风险,对海外矿业投资金融风险评价是企业在进行海外矿产资源开发需要做的重要准备。本文首先对海外矿业投资金融风险进行了分类,并分析了其影响因素,在此基础上建立了评价指标体系,结合德尔菲法确定了指标权重;其次,对评价指标进行了分级,建立了基于物元模型的海外矿业投资金融风险评价模型;最后将评价模型运用于实例之中,对澳大利亚、巴西、美国、加拿大等7个国家进行了金融风险评价。研究结果表明:美国、俄罗斯、加拿大、巴西以及澳大利亚的金融风险等级属于中等或偏下,印度与南非在中等偏上,与实际较相符,具有一定的参考价值。

Financial Risk Assessment for Overseas Mining Investment Based on Matter Element Model

The financial risk, one of the hardest risks which the overseas mineral investment should be faced, has a significant impact. So the assessment of financial risk is very important for the preparation of overseas mineral resource development. Firstly, this paper classified overseas mining investment financial risk, analyzed the main factors of it, and determined the weight of each index by the Delphi. Secondly, classified each index and built a matter element evaluation model for overseas mining investment. Finally, seven countries include Canada, Australia, America, Russia, South Africa, India and Brazil were assessed. The results showed that the financial risk in America, Russia, Canada, Brazil and Australia belong to moderate and low level, the level of financial risk in India and South Africa are above the average. The model has practical values and conforms to reality.