Lake Erie's ecological history reconstructed from the sedimentary record

We evaluated the recent ecological history of Lake Erie from diatoms and geochemistry in sediment cores. Two major transition points in the ecology of the western basin (WB; 1985 and 2008) and central basin (CB; 1935 and 1982) were defined. Changes in abundance of diatom eutrophic indicators and geochemical markers were interpreted as a degradation in water quality after 1935 due to the effects of increased population, agriculture, and industrialization until abatement measures were enacted in the 1970s and 1980s. Diatom indicators suggested modest recovery from eutrophic conditions in Lake Erie, however diatom-inferred total phosphorus suggested that despite abatement efforts total phosphorus was not reduced below pre-impact levels. The effects on diatoms of increased temperature and dissolved silica also became apparent in the 1980s, and in the WB recent shifts were likely caused by increased pollution and recent climatic warming. Based on stratigraphic changes since 1985, the diatom trajectory suggests the phytoplankton of Lake Erie will likely remain in a state of flux for the near future due to a variety of countervailing impacts including unknown effects of mitigation efforts, legacy pollution, climate change, and changing upstream conditions.