| 山东省气温与最大负荷和用电量的关联性分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵锡平,宋岱,张国庆,韩新阳,胡兆光.山东省气温与最大负荷和用电量的关联性分析[J].电网技术,2004,28(17):37-40. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵锡平 宋岱 张国庆 韩新阳 胡兆光 |
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| 作者单位： | 济南大学,山东省,济南市,250022;北京交通大学,北京,100044;山东电力集团公司,山东省,济南市,250001;国电动力经济研究中心,北京,100761 |
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| 摘 要： | 以山东省近几年的负荷和用电量数据为基础,在利用统计方法和散点图分析了各种气象因素对电力负荷和用电量的影响后,得出了影响较大的因素为气温的结论.据此开发了用于分析气象因素与负荷和用电量的关联性的软件,该软件功能齐全,操作简单.文中得出的气温对负荷和用电量影响的特点及规律可以为供电部门和调度部门的工作人员提供有用的参考信息.
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| 关 键 词： | 关联性 气象因素 气温 最大负荷 用电量 回归分析 BP神经网络 电力系统 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-3673(2004)17-0037-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年7月7日 |
RESEARCH ON CORRELATIVITY AMONG AIR TEMPERATURE, MAXIMUM LOAD AND POWER CONSUMPTION IN SHANDONG POWER GRID |
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| ZHAO Xi-ping,SONG Dai,ZHANG Guo-qing,HAN Xin-yang,HU Zhao-guang.RESEARCH ON CORRELATIVITY AMONG AIR TEMPERATURE, MAXIMUM LOAD AND POWER CONSUMPTION IN SHANDONG POWER GRID[J].Power System Technology,2004,28(17):37-40. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Xi-ping SONG Dai ZHANG Guo-qing HAN Xin-yang HU Zhao-guang |
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| Affiliation: | ZHAO Xi-ping1,SONG Dai2,ZHANG Guo-qing3,HAN Xin-yang4,HU Zhao-guang4 |
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| Abstract: | Based on the data of load and power consumptionin Shandong power grid, the authors analyzed the influences of various meteorological factors on power load and powerconsumption by use of statistics method and scatter diagram, and drew the conclusion that the main influencing factor was airtemperature. On this basis a kind of software to analyze thecorrelativity among meteorological factor, load and powerconsumption was developed. The obtained features and regular patterns on the influences of air temperature on load and power consumption could offer useful reference information for thepersonnel in power supply and dispatching departments. |
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| Keywords: | Correlativity Meteorological factor Air temperature Maximum load Power consumption Regressive analysis BP neural network Power system |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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