| 云综合评判模型在区域水资源承载力评价中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 曹玉升,陈晓楠,张伟,段春青. 云综合评判模型在区域水资源承载力评价中的应用[J]. 华北水利水电学院学报, 2010, 31(4): 17-20 |
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| 作者姓名： | 曹玉升 陈晓楠 张伟 段春青 |
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| 作者单位： | 南水北调中线干线工程建设管理局,北京,100038;山东省胶东调水局,山东,济南,250100;北京师范大学水科学研究院,北京,100875 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国水利水电科学院开放研究基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 为有效评价区域水资源承载力,建立了基于云理论的综合评判模型,将不确定性概念的模糊性和随机性有机地结合在一起,既用隶属函数描述了评价等级的模糊性,又利用超熵概念充分考虑了隶属度本身存在的随机性.将云综合评判模型应用于洮河水资源承载力研究中,并同传统模糊综合评判、可拓评价法进行比较.结果表明,该模型有效可行,并能体现出评价的不确定性.
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| 关 键 词： | 水资源承载力 云模型 综合评判 |
Application of Evaluation Model Based on Cloud Theory in Water Resources Carrying Capacity |
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| CAO Yu-sheng,CHEN Xiao-nan,ZHANG Wei,DUAN Chun-qing. Application of Evaluation Model Based on Cloud Theory in Water Resources Carrying Capacity[J]. Journal of North China Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydroelectric Power, 2010, 31(4): 17-20 |
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| Authors: | CAO Yu-sheng CHEN Xiao-nan ZHANG Wei DUAN Chun-qing |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Administration of the South-to-north Water Diversion Middle Route Project, Beijing 100053, China; 2. Bureau of Water Diversion in Shandong, Shandong 250100, China; 3. College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to evaluate regional water resources capacity, a new assessment model based on cloud theory is proposed. Considering the fuzzy and stochastic feature in assessment, the new model can realize greatly the conversion from qualitative conception to quantitative model. Taking the new model into evaluating water resources carrying capacity, the evaluation model based on cloud theory can not only show the fuzzy feature of grade, but also indicate random attribute of membership. The method is developed to evaluate water resources carrying capacity of Taohe river, and the results show that new evaluation method is feasible and can effectively evaluate water resources carrying level. |
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| Keywords: | water resources carrying capacity cloud model evaluation methods |
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