|
|||||
|
|
Effects of speed limit variation on judged mean speed of a trip |
|
| Authors: | Ola Svenson Ilkka Salo |
| Affiliation: | a Risk Analysis, Social and Decision Research Unit, Department of Psychology, Stockholm University, S 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden b Decision Research, 1201 Oak Street, Eugene, OR 97401, USA c Department of Psychology, Lund University, Sweden |
| Abstract: | Three experiments were set up to study how drivers estimate mean travel speeds on trips with different speed limits. To specify, participants judged mean speeds of trips with speed limits on different distances of the trip. Study 1 showed that the mean speed on a road with a temporary 30 km/h speed limit was overestimated if the speeds were greater than 80 km/h on the rest of the trip. Study 2 replicated and extended the results to problems with more speed combinations. In Study 3 the distances of the speed limits were varied and the results showed that a temporary 30 km/h speed restriction gave overestimations of the mean speeds of a trip for all combinations of original and temporary speed limits over all distances. Finally, some psychological issues and applied implications for speed regulation policies were discussed. |
| Keywords: | Speed limit variation Travel time Speed estimates Heuristics Judgment bias |
| 本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录！ | |