A lava flow simulation model for the development of volcanic hazard maps for Mount Etna (Italy) |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Graduate School of Environmental Science (GSES), Hokkaido University, Kita-ku, Sapporo, 060-0810, Japan;2. School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul 151-742, Republic of Korea;3. Institute of Geology & Geoinformation, Geological Survey of Japan, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST), Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8567, Japan;1. Computer Application for Science and Engineering (CASE) Department, Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC-CNS), C. Gran Capità 2-4, 08034 Barcelona, Spain;2. Observatorio Geofisico Central, Instituto Geográfico Nacional (IGN), C. Alfonso XII 3, 28014 Madrid, Spain;3. Instituto de Ciencias de la Tierra “Jaume Almera” (IJA-CSIC), C. Luís Solé i Sabarís s/n, 08034 Barcelona, Spain;4. Laboratorio di Misure e Trattamento dei Segnali, DICA — Università di Udine, Via delle Scienze, 206-33100 Udine, Friuli, Italy;5. Geognosis Proj., Int. Syst. Lab, National Research University of Information Technologies, Mechanics and Optics, Kronverksky Prospect, 49, St. Petersburg 197101, Russia;1. Università degli Studi di Catania, Department of Biological, Geological and Environmental Sciences, Italy;2. Università degli Studi di Napoli Federico II, Department of Earth, Environmental and Resources Science, Italy;3. Università degli Studi di Catania, Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Italy;1. Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, Australia;2. School of Environment, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand;3. Department of Geology and Environmental Geosciences, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL, USA;4. Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, The University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, USA;1. Institute of Earth Sciences Jaume Almera, ICTJA-CSIC, Group of Volcanology, SIMGEO (UB-CSIC), Lluís Solé i Sabarís s/n, 08028 Barcelona, Spain;2. Centro de Geociencias, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Campus Juriquilla, Querétaro, Qro. 76230, Mexico |
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| Abstract: | Volcanic hazard assessment is of paramount importance for the safeguard of the resources exposed to volcanic hazards. In the paper we present ELFM, a lava flow simulation model for the evaluation of the lava flow hazard on Mount Etna (Sicily, Italy), the most important active volcano in Europe. The major contributions of the paper are: (a) a detailed specification of the lava flow simulation model and the specification of an algorithm implementing it; (b) the definition of a methodological framework for applying the model to the specific volcano. For what concerns the former issue, we propose an extended version of an existing stochastic model that has been applied so far only to the assessment of the volcanic hazard on Lanzarote and Tenerife (Canary Islands). Concerning the methodological framework, we claim model validation is definitely needed for assessing the effectiveness of the lava flow simulation model. To that extent a strategy has been devised for the generation of simulation experiments and evaluation of their outcomes. |
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