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马氏转移概率在人才预测中的应用
引用本文:官子美.马氏转移概率在人才预测中的应用[J].云南工业大学学报,1990(3).
作者姓名:官子美
作者单位:云南工学院基础部
摘    要:本文利用马氏一步转移概率矩阵P(n,1),建立预测模型U(n 1)=U(n)P(n,1) A(n 1),据此可逐年预测:不同职称的人才拥有量;各级各类学校在校生数与毕业生数;不同年龄的教师数等。

关 键 词:随机过程  马氏链  转移概率  转移矩阵

The Application of Markof Chain Transition Probability in Forecasting Talentd People
Authors:Guan Zimei
Affiliation:Department of Foundation
Abstract:This article deals with the one-step transition matrix of Markof chain P (n,1) to set up a detecting model U(n I)=U (n) P (n,1) A(n 1). By means of it, the quantity of talented people with different academic titles, the number of students studying at various kinds of schools of diffeerent levels and graduates, the number of teachers of different ages etc, can be forecasted yearly.
Keywords:Stochssfic Process Markof chain Transition Probability Transition matrix
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