Effectiveness of normalized difference water index in modelling Aedes aegypti house index

The application of remotely sensed data to public health has increased in Argentina in the past few years, especially to study vector-borne viral diseases such as dengue. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) has been widely used for remote sensing of vegetation as well as the brightness temperature (BT) for many years. Another environmental variable obtained from satellites is the normalized difference water index (NDWI) for remote sensing of the status of the vegetation liquid water from space. The aim of the present article was to test the effectiveness of NDWI together with other satellite and meteorological data to develop two forecasting models, namely the SATMET (satellite and meteorological variables) model and the SAT (satellite environmental variables) model. The models were developed and validated by dividing the data file into two sets: the data between January 2001 and April 2004 were used to construct the models and the data between May 2004 and May 2005 were used to validate them. The regression analysis for the SATMET and SAT models showed an adjusted R ² of 0.82 and 0.79, respectively. To validate the models, a correlation between the estimates and the observations was obtained for both the SATMET model (r?=?0.57) and the SAT model (r?=?0.64). Both models showed the same root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.04 and, therefore, the same forecasting power. For this reason, these models may have applications as decision support tools in assisting public health authorities in the control of Aedes aegypti and risk management planning programmes.