| Abstract: | Examined the predictability of actual jobs from expressed vocational choices and confidence in those choices. Ss were 1,994 members of a nationwide study of high school student career development who were working more than half time 3 yrs later. Both choices and occupations were categorized into Holland-type job clusters; analyses involved the use of weighted hit rates and coefficient kappa. Expressed vocational choices correctly predicted actual occupations 2 yrs after high school for 38% of the sample. Hit rates for males and females were 40 and 35%, respectively. When certainty level was added to expressed choice, hit rates were 43% for sure choosers, 38% for fairly sure choosers, and 28% for choosers who were not sure. Each choice level was significantly different from the others. (18 ref) (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved) |
