The evaluation of the lung transplantation program at Groningen: survival rate, quality of life, and cost-effectiveness

OBJECTIVE: Assessment of the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of lung transplantation, and the supply and need of donor lungs in the Netherlands. DESIGN: Prospective and comparative. SETTING: University Hospital Groningen, the Netherlands. METHOD: Costs and effects were compared of the situations with and without a lung transplantation programme. Costs and effects were registered during all phases of this programme (November 1990 to February 1996; 76 patients reached the transplantation phase), and the situation without a programme was judged on pre-transplant evidence. The effect of lung transplantation on survival was assessed by means of a Cox regression model, and in the quality of life study of a longitudinal analysis was applied. The supply and the need of donor lungs were based on several registrations. RESULTS: Lung transplantation led to a significant improvement in survival and quality of life. The average gain in life years and quality adjusted life years (Qalys) were estimated at 4.4 and 5.2, respectively. The average costs per transplanted patient were estimated at Hfl. 670,000 (Hfl. 1 is about 0.5 dollar). The average costs per life year and Qaly gained were estimated at Hfl 153,000 and Hfl. 120,000 (both discounted), respectively. The annual need of donor lungs was estimated at 50-75, the annual supply at 17-27. CONCLUSIONS: Lung transplantation leads to improvement of survival and quality of life. However, it involves considerable costs and the cost-effectiveness is unfavourable compared with other Dutch transplant programmes. Moreover, there is a great discrepancy between the need and supply of donor lungs in the Netherlands.