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基于灰色关联分析的瓦斯突出危险性风险评价
引用本文:桂祥友,郁钟铭.基于灰色关联分析的瓦斯突出危险性风险评价[J].采矿与安全工程学报,2006,23(4):464-467.
作者姓名:桂祥友  郁钟铭
作者单位:贵州大学,矿业学院,贵州,贵阳,550003;武汉理工大学,研究生院,湖北,武汉,430070;贵州民族学院,管理学院,贵州,贵阳,550025
基金项目:贵州省省长基金项目(2005325),辽宁省教育厅基金项目(202183383)
摘    要:为了提高煤矿瓦斯突出危险性风险评价的准确度和可靠性,采用灰色关联分析方法,研究了瓦斯突出危险性风险评价的理论、过程与计算步骤.采用煤矿瓦斯涌出量、风量、瓦斯含量等参数来分析巷道瓦斯危险性风险程度并进行了定量分析,最后得出瓦斯突出危险性风险关联度.根据关联度大小找出各因素指标与标准数据序列各因素指标之间的差距,预测巷道瓦斯突出危险程度,应用结果表明,该预报方法可靠程度较高,为现场预测提供了科学依据.

关 键 词:灰色关联分析  瓦斯突出危险性  风险评价  关联度
文章编号:1673-3363(2006)04-0464-04
修稿时间:2006年5月21日

Risk Evaluation of Gas Outburst Fatalness Based on Grey Relation Analysis
GUI Xiang-you,YU Zhong-ming.Risk Evaluation of Gas Outburst Fatalness Based on Grey Relation Analysis[J].Journal of Mining and Safety Engineering,2006,23(4):464-467.
Authors:GUI Xiang-you  YU Zhong-ming
Affiliation:GUI Xiang-you~1,YU Zhong-ming~
Abstract:In order to improve accuracy and reliability of risk evaluation of gas outburst fatalness,The grey relation analysis method was used to discuss the theory,process,computation of risk evaluation.The risk degree of gateway gas fatalness was quantitatively analyzed based on those parameters such as gas emission quantity,ventilation quantity,content of gas,and so on.Finally,the risk correlation degree of gas outburst fatalness was obtained after the analysis.The difference between the practical factors and the factors of standard data were found out according to the relation degree.On the basis of this,the gas outburst fatalness of gateway was forecasted,showing that this forecast method is reliable,which has provided a scientific foundation for the in situ forecast.
Keywords:grey relation analysis  gas outburst fatalness  risk evaluation  relation degree
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