| 油气田产量预测的新模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 丁显峰,张锦良,刘志斌. 油气田产量预测的新模型[J]. 石油勘探与开发, 2004, 31(3): 104-106 |
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| 作者姓名： | 丁显峰 张锦良 刘志斌 |
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| 作者单位： | 西南石油学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于累积产量随时间递增的信息特征及对以往产量预测模型的研究，建立了一种预测油气田产量、累积产量和可采储量的新模型。该模型可以对油气田开发全过程的开发指标进行拟合与预测，并可简化为Logistic模型和胡一陈模型。用前苏联巴夫雷油田和北斯塔夫罗波尔一佩拉基阿金气田的实际数据验证的结果表明，该模型预测精度较高。表2参10
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| 关 键 词： | 预测 产量 累积产量 可采储量 模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-0747(2004)03-0104-03 |
A new model for production forecast of oil and gas fields |
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| DING Xianfeng,ZHANG Jinliang and LIU Zhi-bin. A new model for production forecast of oil and gas fields[J]. Petroleum Exploration and Development, 2004, 31(3): 104-106 |
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| Authors: | DING Xianfeng ZHANG Jinliang LIU Zhi-bin |
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| Affiliation: | Southwest Petroleum Institute, Sichuan 610500, China;Southwest Petroleum Institute, Sichuan 610500, China;Southwest Petroleum Institute, Sichuan 610500, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the characteristics of the cumulative production, and the research of previous models for production forecast, a new model for the prediction of the production rate, cumulative production rate and recoverable reserves of oil and gas fields is developed. The model could match and forecast the exploitation indexes of the oil and gas fields, and it could be simplified to Logistic model and Hu-Chen model. The applications in a gas field and an oil field of the former Soviet Union prove that the prediction of the model is very reliable. |
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| Keywords: | prediction production cumulative production recoverable reserves model |
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