基于状态空间模型的“一带一路”遗产廊道生态旅游承载力研究

基于状态空间模型,综合生态环境、旅游资源和社会经济3个子系统对生态旅游的影响效果,以"一带一路"上的普洱"茶马古道"为例,构建了分层次的遗产廊道生态旅游系统承载力评价模型。针对不同文化遗产类型,采用GIS技术将各影响因子空间化,最后综合得到生态旅游承载力空间分异结果。研究结果表明:普洱市生态旅游承载力较低,仅有14.1%的区域具备强承载力,其余区域为较强承载、中等承载、较弱承载和弱承载等其他等级。研究可为"一带一路"等类似线性文化遗产旅游可持续发展的战略制定奠定理论和方法基础。

Research on Ecotourism Carrying Capacity of the"Belt and Road" Heritage Corridor Based on StateSpace Model

Based on the state space model, this research synthesizesthe impact of the three subsystems of eco-environment, touristresources and social economy on ecotourism, and uses the Pu''er"Ancient Tea Horse Road" on the "Belt and Road" as an example tobuild the hierarchical heritage corridor ecotourism system carryingcapacity evaluation model. For different cultural heritage types, withthe use of the GIS technology, it completes the existing ecotourismcarrying capacity spatialization method, to spatialize all influencingfactors and finally synthesizes and gets the spatial variation resultsof ecotourism carrying capacity. The multi-dimensional carryingcapacity spatial variation research results show that the overallecotourism carrying capacity is low, with 14.1% exceeding orlocated in the ideal state. It shows the distribution law of westhigh and east low, and the north region is of the lowest carryingcapacity. This study can be used as a theoretical and methodologicalfoundation for similar linear cultural heritage tourism sustainabledevelopment strategy of the "Belt and Road".